Why does this page have no prices?
Because we have not collected them. The site is published as a plan so the shape of the dataset can be reviewed before any figure appears. Every page is noindex until its rows exist.
A tour that costs more but takes you out again for free can be the cheaper way to see the aurora. That only shows up once the policies are written down next to the prices.
No policy has been transcribed yet, and the derived cost-per-sighting figure has no inputs.
The derived figure is clearly ours and not an operator claim. Its formula and its uncertainty will be stated on the methodology page before it is published.
The word guarantee does a lot of work in aurora marketing and almost never means a refund. Sometimes it is a free second night, sometimes only if the tour is cancelled by the operator, sometimes only within the same trip, sometimes only if you ask within 24 hours.
This page will quote each rule in the operator’s own words, then put a single derived figure beside it: the price divided by the chance that a night under that policy ends in a sighting. That figure is ours, its method will be on the methodology page, and it will not appear until both of its inputs exist.
Nothing on this page is measured yet. These are the fields we will check, where each one comes from, and how often it gets re-checked. No number is published until the first check is done.
Not checked yet
| Field | Source | Re-checked |
|---|---|---|
| Operator, base and product | Operator site or marketplace listing | Monthly in season |
| Policy wording, quoted in full | Operator terms and conditions | Monthly in season |
| What triggers the retry: no sighting, operator cancellation, or weather | Operator terms and conditions | Monthly in season |
| Deadline and limits on claiming it | Operator terms and conditions | Monthly in season |
| Price per adult, with the date read | Operator site or marketplace listing | Monthly in season |
| Expected cost per night that ends in a sighting | Computed by us from the price, the clear-sky share and the policy | Monthly in season |
Because we have not collected them. The site is published as a plan so the shape of the dataset can be reviewed before any figure appears. Every page is noindex until its rows exist.
Sometimes. A more expensive tour with free retries beats a cheap single-shot tour whenever the odds on any one night are low enough, which is most nights at most bases. The point of this page is to replace that sentence with a number.
We may, once a programme is live. No booking link on this site is live today, and no programme we join changes which operators are listed or how they are ordered.